Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.197089 0.224399 0.253713 0.287468 0.325216 0.366076 0.413602
2025-11-16 0.157318 0.193121 0.234138 0.284433 0.344256 0.412944 0.497579
2025-11-23 0.129534 0.169825 0.218670 0.281874 0.361079 0.456606 0.580049
2025-11-30 0.112289 0.156066 0.211848 0.287494 0.386653 0.511375 0.679156
2025-12-07 0.096645 0.141776 0.201977 0.287177 0.403482 0.555357 0.767074
2025-12-14 0.084222 0.129888 0.193430 0.286929 0.419332 0.598142 0.855443
2025-12-21 0.074320 0.120097 0.186336 0.287363 0.435302 0.641276 0.946257
2025-12-28 0.067183 0.113362 0.182635 0.291815 0.456628 0.692488 1.050779
2026-01-04 0.061816 0.108601 0.181171 0.299059 0.482041 0.750531 1.167954
2026-01-11 0.056125 0.102567 0.176990 0.301474 0.499926 0.798151 1.272124
2026-01-18 0.051857 0.098345 0.175144 0.307140 0.522829 0.854147 1.391427
2026-01-25 0.048618 0.095478 0.175137 0.315560 0.550339 0.918357 1.526305
2026-02-01 0.043737 0.089271 0.169145 0.313904 0.562037 0.959601 1.629588
2026-02-08 0.039533 0.083797 0.163858 0.312906 0.574593 1.002771 1.738216
2026-02-15 0.035744 0.078637 0.158588 0.311377 0.585950 1.044405 1.846393
2026-02-22 0.033494 0.076228 0.158079 0.318233 0.612111 1.111751 2.000116
2026-03-01 0.030625 0.072195 0.154094 0.318279 0.626059 1.159071 2.122559
2026-03-08 0.028049 0.068451 0.150272 0.318224 0.639644 1.206261 2.246884
2026-03-15 0.025807 0.065145 0.146973 0.318821 0.654312 1.255895 2.377614
2026-03-22 0.024209 0.063074 0.145965 0.323776 0.677351 1.321378 2.539056
2026-03-29 0.023021 0.061801 0.146478 0.331768 0.706594 1.399355 2.726178
2026-04-05 0.021468 0.059467 0.144497 0.334440 0.725558 1.459368 2.883553
2026-04-12 0.020331 0.057999 0.144252 0.340672 0.751854 1.534111 3.071009